Hurricane Predictions

OK, so the government releases "new" predictions for the 2007 hurricane season last week. They lowered their predictions. WOW, what a suprise! I bet that research cost millions of dollars and any of us could have made the very same prediction. Let's see, we are half way through the season (almost) and there has been little to no activity. Who couldn't say that there are more than likely going to be fewer hurricanes than initially projected. It amazes me that we have high paid people in place to make these decisions, when in fact, it is an obvious prediction. Oh well, we let it happen so who are we to whine about the expenses needed to make these astute observations. Just my 2 cents...